|_*
 |_* Estimation of Almon distributed lags
 |_*
 |_TIME 1952 4
 |_SAMPLE 1952.1 1986.4
 |_READ (KOPCKE) DATE JS JE F IS IE  /SKIPLINES=1
    6 VARIABLES AND      140 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS       1

 |_GENR FJE=F/JE
 |_*
 |_* Estimate unrestricted lag structure
 |_*

 |_OLS IE FJE(0.8)
  LAG FOR FJE     RANGE =  0  8 ORDER= 0 ENDCON=0

 REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR=      31 CURRENT PAR=     500
  OLS ESTIMATION
       132 OBSERVATIONS     DEPENDENT VARIABLE= IE
 ...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO:      9,    140

  R-SQUARE =   0.9464     R-SQUARE ADJUSTED =   0.9424
 VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 =  0.31028E+09
 STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA =   17615.
 SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE=  0.37854E+11
 MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE =  0.16547E+06
 LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = -1472.60

                    TESTS ON LAGGED COEFFICIENTS
 VARIABLE  SUM(COEFS)  STD ERROR  T-RATIO  P-VALUE | MEAN LAG| JOINT-F  P-VALUE
 FJE        1.0696      0.234E-01   45.8     0.000 |   2.611 |   239.     0.000


 VARIABLE   ESTIMATED  STANDARD   T-RATIO        PARTIAL STANDARDIZED ELASTICITY
   NAME    COEFFICIENT   ERROR     122 DF   P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT  AT MEANS
 FJE       0.37765     0.1675       2.255     0.026 0.200     0.3483     0.5198
 FJE       0.54505E-01 0.2604      0.2093     0.835 0.019     0.0505     0.0744
 FJE       0.11336     0.2610      0.4343     0.665 0.039     0.1052     0.1536
 FJE       0.12383     0.2610      0.4744     0.636 0.043     0.1152     0.1666
 FJE       0.18247     0.2629      0.6940     0.489 0.063     0.1697     0.2437
 FJE       0.12046     0.2656      0.4536     0.651 0.041     0.1116     0.1595
 FJE       0.18707E-01 0.2650      0.7059E-01 0.944 0.006     0.0173     0.0246
 FJE      -0.66356E-01 0.2631     -0.2522     0.801-0.023    -0.0612    -0.0863
 FJE       0.14495     0.1686      0.8597     0.392 0.078     0.1334     0.1870
 CONSTANT  -73277.      5426.      -13.51     0.000-0.774     0.0000    -0.4428
 |_*
 |_* Estimate linear distributed lag

 |_OLS IE FJE(0.8,1)
  LAG FOR FJE     RANGE =  0  8 ORDER= 1 ENDCON=0

 REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR=      31 CURRENT PAR=     500
  OLS ESTIMATION
       132 OBSERVATIONS     DEPENDENT VARIABLE= IE
 ...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO:      9,    140
 F TEST ON RESTRICTIONS=  0.24436     WITH    7 AND  122 DF  P-VALUE= 0.97312

  R-SQUARE =   0.9456     R-SQUARE ADJUSTED =   0.9448
 VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 =  0.29756E+09
 STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA =   17250.
 SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE=  0.38385E+11
 MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE =  0.16547E+06
 LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = -1473.52

                    TESTS ON LAGGED COEFFICIENTS
 VARIABLE  SUM(COEFS)  STD ERROR  T-RATIO  P-VALUE | MEAN LAG| JOINT-F  P-VALUE
 FJE        1.0660      0.226E-01   47.2     0.000 |   2.643 |  0.112E+04 0.000


 VARIABLE   ESTIMATED  STANDARD   T-RATIO        PARTIAL STANDARDIZED ELASTICITY
   NAME    COEFFICIENT   ERROR     129 DF   P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT  AT MEANS
 FJE       0.21488     0.2558E-01   8.402     0.000 0.595     0.1982     0.2957
 FJE       0.19077     0.1925E-01   9.911     0.000 0.658     0.1768     0.2604
 FJE       0.16666     0.1296E-01   12.86     0.000 0.750     0.1547     0.2259
 FJE       0.14256     0.6823E-02   20.89     0.000 0.879     0.1326     0.1918
 FJE       0.11845     0.2511E-02   47.17     0.000 0.972     0.1102     0.1582
 FJE       0.94340E-01 0.6870E-02   13.73     0.000 0.771     0.0874     0.1249
 FJE       0.70232E-01 0.1301E-01   5.399     0.000 0.429     0.0649     0.0922
 FJE       0.46125E-01 0.1930E-01   2.390     0.018 0.206     0.0425     0.0600
 FJE       0.22017E-01 0.2563E-01  0.8592     0.392 0.075     0.0203     0.0284
 CONSTANT  -72402.      5247.      -13.80     0.000-0.772     0.0000    -0.4376

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